Linear and Nonlinear Effects in Connectedness Structure: Comparison between European Stock Markets.

The purpose of this research is to compare the risk transfer structure in Central and Eastern European and Western European stock markets during the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Similar to the global financial crisis (GFC), the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19) created a significant level of risk, causing investors to suffer losses in a very short period of time. We use a variety of methods, including nonstandard like mutual information and transfer entropy. The results that we obtained indicate that there are significant nonlinear correlations in the capital markets that can be practically applied for investment portfolio optimization. From an investor perspective, our findings suggest that in the wake of global crisis and pandemic outbreak, the benefits of diversification will be limited by the transfer of funds between developed and developing country markets. Our study provides an insight into the risk transfer theory in developed and emerging markets as well as a cutting-edge methodology designed for analyzing the connectedness of markets. We contribute to the studies which have examined the different stock markets' response to different turbulences. The study confirms that specific market effects can still play a significant role because of the interconnection of different sectors of the global economy.

Connectedness structures of sovereign bond markets in Central and Eastern Europe

The main goal of this research is to identify the direction and scale of connectedness of selected post-communist countries from Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and major global and European sovereign bond markets, covering the period 2008–2020, including the COVID-19 pandemic. We verify the volatility spillovers in bond markets via directional method and dynamic conditional interconnectedness modelling perspectives. Unexpectedly, we discovered that CEE countries are more interlinked with each other than with global markets. Therefore, our results suggest that it is useful to look separately at advanced and developing bond markets in European countries, as it has a significant implication for bond's portfolio management.